2. Our Program’s Prediction Methodology

Our Program employs a very simple methodology to determine the most likely score-line for any given football match, and all the Program’s inputs and outputs are 100% verifiable by the User. That prediction methodology is centred on the average relative strengths of the two teams involved in the match, used in conjunction with a series of carefully constructed algorithms that rely on input parameters decided by the User. We apply the ‘Law of Averages’ (also known as the ‘Law of Large Numbers’) to all our prediction calculations. We do not attempt to modify the prediction for any match due to a different line-up of players, not even for known-about injuries of players. Knowledge of the teams and the status of the likely line-up of players is therefore essential when considering our Program’s weekly prediction outputs. Such detailed additional knowledge is what differentiates the 3% of successful Bettors from the others (i.e. those who lose either a little or a lot to the Bookies over the full course of a season or, in the worst-case scenario, lose their entire stake or even more). There are many websites nowadays that provide valuable details about the anticipated line-ups of the teams and the health/injury status of the players that our Program’s Users can visit to get such vital information.

Another very important point to bear in mind is that our Program lets you know what ought to happen in any given match, provided that both teams play exactly as their individual past performance records indicate. However, the reality is that this does not happen for about 50% or more of the matches. This is because supposedly stronger teams frequently under-perform, while supposedly weaker teams surprise by playing to a higher standard than they have usually managed previously. For this reason, we developed a wide range of ‘Reliabilities’ for our Program to measure and track, and which show just how well (or how badly) each team actually performs compared to the average performance level expected from them. Understanding what those Reliabilities are monitoring is crucial for determining how much confidence should be placed in the Program’s prediction of the result for any given match. Again, attention to details such as this is what makes for more successful betting outcomes.

To ensure that the input from the User is valid, our Program’s outputs can be checked in detail once the runs for each of its different modules have been completed. That is achieved using spreadsheet reports, in which the data displayed is drawn down from the databases populated when the various modules are processed with the Program runs. Those reports contain all the information necessary to enable easy analysis of the outputs, and to help the User make the decision as to what adjustments, if any, need to be made to the input parameters to improve the Program’s outputs. To put it another way, the quality of our Program’s outputs can be made better by modifying the input parameters wherever necessary, and over which the User has total control.

At the end of the day, no matter how good our Program’s outputs may appear to be, what the User really wants to know is this: Can I see how my betting would have fared in previous seasons if I had relied on the Program’s outputs using the input parameters I think are best? Well, our Program can answer that question very easily, since it contains a full betting module, the available reports for which will show the User the week-by-week betting returns, as well as the overall returns for each season. The Program also provides a large number of very detailed analysis sheets (all as are fully explained in our Manual), which enable the User to drill down and see what betting was going well and what was not going so well. Armed with that information, the User can then see what needs to be done to improve not just the predictions outputs but also the betting selections outputs.

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